Editor@B'hamMail wrote:
will local newspapers be gone in 10-15 years as suggested by 'hacked off'?
Of course not. They'll be different. So will the web. But news costs money to generate, and the platform to attract enough money to run a news organisation is in print, not on the web. Advertising revenue ("swapping pennies for pounds" from print to web, to quote Mirror editor Richard Wallace) remains there in hundreds of millions for print... a rising income for the web but still only 10 or 20% of what's in print, and even then so much of it piggy-backing print revenues. Certainly nowhere near enough to run a standalone (without print revenues) news organisation.
And then there's circulation revenue (two thirds of national newspapers revenue comes from the cover price people buy the papers for; one third for regional newspapers). Take that away with internet only organisations and you have precisley NIL income from such sources (unless Murdoch is right and we can now shut the stable door and start charging everyone for accessing news sites...).
You maybe right and those regional papers will be around for longer than I have predicted, but in what form?
Already court reporters are almost a thing of the past. Coverage of council meetings and meetings of other public bodies has been drastically cut, reporters have less and less time to find original stories all because newspaper groups seem to reach for staff cuts to meet every challenge they face.
You don't have to be a journalist to see that the cut backs in staffing levels have impacted on quality.
I've heard it said that journalism was 80 per cent press releases and that 90 per cent of press releases end up unused in the bin.
With the cuts in staffing levels I would argue that the odds have swung heavily in the favour of spin doctors.
Increasingly the stories you find in the Mail are almost exactly the same as you find in the Express and Star. This not because of plagiarism but because journalists are becoming so heavily dependent on press officers.
I believe your 15 reporters cover an area taking in Solihull, Dudley, Sandwell, and Walsall and of course Birmingham
A population of around 2 million people?
Not a lot for such a massive area. One reporter for every 133,000 people?
Newspaper sales are suffering. A good result nowadays is holding sales not increasing them.
And advertisers have seen this and are switching their budgets to other platforms.
You're right in saying that internet revenues are 'pennies' compared to that of print but the advantage of the internet is that costs are lower and the precision in reaching potential customers is much greater, so the trend away from print will continue.
And there is the problem of pushing the genie of 'the internet is free' back into the bottle.
It's not just Murdoch that wants to charge for access, I suspect Trinity Mirror wants to do the same.
Some publications, mainly B2B, are overcoming it with online subscription charges.
What will the big regional newspaper groups do to overcome these problems of falling sales and declining advertising revenues.
If past experience is anything to go by, sack more staff, fill with more press releases, regurgitate national stories, fill the pages with celebs from Big Brother or the latest talent show.
Quote:
I'm 41 and will bet anyone anything that newspapers will still be around when I reach retirement age.
Yeah, you might still be able to pick up the Birmingham Mail in 20 years time but when you do I suspect you will be asking yourself the question, 'Where's the news'?